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Quantitative Aptitude

PROBABILITY MCQs

Probability, Probability I

Total Questions : 775 | Page 15 of 78 pages
Question 141. On a toss of two dice, A throws a total of 5.  Then the probability that he will throw another 5 before he throws 7 is
  1.    245
  2.    25
  3.    181
  4.    19
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option B. -> 25
:
B
let P(A) be the probability of throwing total of 5 and P(B) the probability of throwing total 7.
P(A)=436=19,P(B)=636=16,P(AorB)=518andP(AandB)=0P(neitherAnorB)=1318,P(5before7)=19+1318.19+1318.1318.19+....=19[111318]=25.
Question 142. A box contains 24 identical balls of which 12 are white and 12 black. The balls are drawn at random from the box one at a time with replacement. The probability that a white ball is drawn for the 4th time on the 7th draw is
  1.    564
  2.    2732
  3.    532
  4.    12
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option C. -> 532
:
C
In any trail, P(getting white ball) = 12
P(getting black ball) = 12
Now, required event will occur if in the first six trails 3 white balls are drawn in any one of the 3 trails from six. The remaining 3 trails must be kept reserved for black balls. This can happen
In 6C3×3C3=20 ways.
=20×(12)3×(12)3×12=532
Question 143. The odds in favour of A solving a problem are 3 to 4 and the odds  against B solving the same problem are 5 to 7.  If they  both try the problem, the probability that the problem is solved is:
  1.    4184
  2.    1621
  3.    521
  4.    14
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option B. -> 1621
:
B
P(A)=37,P(B)=712P(¯A)=47,P(¯B)=512P(AB)=1P(¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯AB)=1P(¯A¯B)P(AB)=147×512=1621
Question 144. Let `head` means 1 and `tail` means 2 and coefficients of the equation ax2+bx+c=0 are chosen by tossing a fair coin. The probability that the roots of the  equation are non-real,  is equal to
  1.    58
  2.    78
  3.    38
  4.    18
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option B. -> 78
:
B
a, b, c may be 1 or 2
ax2+bx+c=0 has non-real roots if b24ac<0
b12(a,c)(1,1),(1,2),(2,1),(2,2)(1,2),(2,1)(2,2)=7
Hence required probabilidy =723=78.
Question 145. The probability that a certain beginner at golf gets good shot if he uses correct club is 13, and the probability of a good shot with an incorrect club is 14.  In his bag there are 5 different clubs only one of which is correct for the good shot.  If he chooses a club at random and take a stroke, the probability that he gets a good shot is
  1.    13
  2.    112
  3.    415
  4.    712
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option C. -> 415
:
C
P( getting correct club ) =15
Therefore P(hitting good shot by correct club) =13×15=115
P(getting wrong club) =45
P(hitting good shot with wrong club) =45×14=15.
Therefore P(hitting good shot) =115+15=415.
Question 146. Sixteen players P1.P2.P16 play in a tournament.  They are divided into eight pairs at random.From each pair a winner is decided on the basis of a game played between the two players of the pair.Assuming that all the players are of equal strength, the probability that exactly one of the two players P1 and P2 is among the eight winners is
  1.    415
  2.    715
  3.    815
  4.    1730
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option C. -> 815
:
C
Let E1(E2) denote the event that P1and P2are paired (not paired) together and let A denote the event that one of two players P1and P2is among the winners.
Since, P1 can be paired with any of the remaining 15 players.
We have, P(E1)=115
and P(E2)=1P(E1)=1115=1415
In case E1 occurs, it is certain that one of P1 and P2 will be among the winners. In case E2 occurs, the probability that exactly of P1 and P2 is among the winners is
P{(P1¯P2)(¯P1P2)}=P(P1¯P2)+P(¯P1P2)=P(P1)P(¯P2)+P(¯P1)P(P2)=(12)(112)+(112)(12)=14+14=12
ie, P(AE1)=1 and P(AE2)=12
By the total probability Rule,
P(A)=P(E1).P(AE1)+P(E1).P(AE2)=115(1)+1415(12)=815
Question 147. Two players A and B throw a die alternately for a prize of Rs 11, which is to be won by a player who first throws a six.  If A starts the game, their respective expectations are
  1.    Rs 6; Rs 5
  2.    Rs 7; Rs 4
  3.    Rs 5.50; Rs 5.50
  4.    Rs 5.75; Rs 5.25
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option A. -> Rs 6; Rs 5
:
A
Probability through a six = 16
P(A)=16,P(¯A)=56,P(B)=16,P(¯B)=56
Probability of A winning
=P(A)+P(¯A)P(¯B)P(A)+P(¯A)P(¯B)P(¯A)P(¯B)P(A)+...
=16+56×56×16+56×56×56×56×16+...
=1612536=611
Probability of B winning =1611=511
Expectations of A and B are
611×11= Rs 6 and 511×11 =Rs 5
Question 148. A five digit number is formed with digits 0. 1. 2. 3. 4 without repetition.  A number is selected at random,  then the probability that it is divisible by 4 is
  1.    13
  2.    516
  3.    14
  4.    415
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option B. -> 516
:
B
The number formed is divisible by 4 if the last two digits are 04,40,34,32,20,12.
Therefore total number of favorable ways = 3! + 3! +4 + 4+ 3! + 4 = 30 (This is the sum of number of ways in which the first two digits can be formed)
Total numbers that can be formed = 5! – 4! = 96 ( Number of ways of arranging 5 digits - Number of ways in which zero comes as the first digit)
Therefore required probability =3096=516.
Question 149. A coin whose faces marked 2 and 3 is thrown 5 times, then chance of obtaining a total of 12 is
  1.    516
  2.    58
  3.    532
  4.    524
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option A. -> 516
:
A
It is given that the coin has faces 2 and 3, tossed five times.
To get sum 12 we need 2,2,2,3,3 in any combination.
So, in the 5 throws, there need to be 3 2's. Automatically other 2 will be 3's since there is no other possibility.
So, it boils down to choosing 3 from 5.
Therefore P(getting sum 12) =5C3(12)5=516.
Question 150. A bag contains 3 white, 3 black and 2 red balls.  One by one, three balls are drawn without replacing them.  Then the probability that the third ball is red , is given by
  1.    524
  2.    112
  3.    14
  4.    12
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option C. -> 14
:
C
Number of white balls = 3, black balls = 3 red balls = 2
Since drawn balls are not replaced, for third ball to red, we have following patterns:
E1=WWR,BBR,E2=BWR,WBR;andE3=RBR,RWR,BRR,WRR
P(E1)=2×38×27×26,P(E2)=2×38×37×26,P(E3)=4×2×3×18.7.6
Required probability =P(E1)+P(E2)+P(E3)=14

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