Quantitative Aptitude
PROBABILITY MCQs
Probability, Probability I
Total Questions : 775
| Page 14 of 78 pages
Question 131. Urn A contains 6 red , 4 white balls and urn B contains 4 red and 6 white balls. One ball is drawn from the urn A and placed in the urn B. Then one ball is drawn at random from urn B and placed in the urn A. if one ball is now drawn from the urn A, then the probability that it is found to be red is
Answer: Option A. -> 3255
:
A
case(i): red ball from A to B, red ball from B to A ,then red ball from A
P1=610×511×610
Case(ii): red ball from A to B, white ball from B to A, red ball from A
P2=610×611×510
Case(iii): white ball from A to B, red ball from B to A, red ball from A
P3=410×411×710
Case(iv): white ball from A to B, white ball from B to A, red ball from A
P4=410×711×610
Therefore required probability =P1+P2+P3+P4=6401100=3255
:
A
case(i): red ball from A to B, red ball from B to A ,then red ball from A
P1=610×511×610
Case(ii): red ball from A to B, white ball from B to A, red ball from A
P2=610×611×510
Case(iii): white ball from A to B, red ball from B to A, red ball from A
P3=410×411×710
Case(iv): white ball from A to B, white ball from B to A, red ball from A
P4=410×711×610
Therefore required probability =P1+P2+P3+P4=6401100=3255
Answer: Option A. -> 14
:
A
P(exactly two of A, B and C) = P(AB) + P(BC) + P(CA) – 3 P(ABC)
Since A, B ,C are independent events,
Required probability = P(A)P(B) + P(B)P(C) +P(C)P(A) – 3 P(A)P(B)P(C)
=13×12+12×14+14×13−313×12×14=14.
:
A
P(exactly two of A, B and C) = P(AB) + P(BC) + P(CA) – 3 P(ABC)
Since A, B ,C are independent events,
Required probability = P(A)P(B) + P(B)P(C) +P(C)P(A) – 3 P(A)P(B)P(C)
=13×12+12×14+14×13−313×12×14=14.
Question 133. In a multiple choice question there are four alternative answers of which one or more than one is or are correct. A candidate will get marks on the question only if he ticks all correct answers. The candidate decides to tick answers at random. If he is allowed up to three chances to answer the question, the probability that he will get marks on it is given by
Answer: Option C. -> 15
:
C
The total number of ways of answering one or more alternatives of 4 is 4C1+4C2+4C3+4C4=15,
Out of these 15 combinations, only one combination is correct. The probability of answeringthe alternaive correctly at the first trial is 115, that at the second trial is (1415.114)=115, and that at the third trail is 1415.1314.113=115,
Therefore the probability that the andidate will get marks on the question if he allowed upto three chances, is 115+115+115=15.
:
C
The total number of ways of answering one or more alternatives of 4 is 4C1+4C2+4C3+4C4=15,
Out of these 15 combinations, only one combination is correct. The probability of answeringthe alternaive correctly at the first trial is 115, that at the second trial is (1415.114)=115, and that at the third trail is 1415.1314.113=115,
Therefore the probability that the andidate will get marks on the question if he allowed upto three chances, is 115+115+115=15.
Answer: Option D. -> 0.37
:
D
Given: P(A)=0.25
P(B)=0.5
P(A and B simultaneously happening) = 0.12
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A∪B)=0.25+0.5−0.12=0.63
P(¯A∩¯B)=P¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯(A∪B)=1−P(A∪B)=1−0.63=0.37
:
D
Given: P(A)=0.25
P(B)=0.5
P(A and B simultaneously happening) = 0.12
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A∪B)=0.25+0.5−0.12=0.63
P(¯A∩¯B)=P¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯(A∪B)=1−P(A∪B)=1−0.63=0.37
Answer: Option B. -> is false
:
B
Since the events A,B,C are mutually exclusive, we have
P(A⋃B⋃C)=23+14+16=1312>0
Which is not possible , hence the statement is false.
:
B
Since the events A,B,C are mutually exclusive, we have
P(A⋃B⋃C)=23+14+16=1312>0
Which is not possible , hence the statement is false.
Answer: Option B. -> 37
:
B
Let A be the event that father has at least one boy and B be the event that he has 2boys and one girl.
P(A)=P(1boy,2girl)+P(2boy,1girl)+P(3boy,nogirl)=3C1+3C2+3C323=78
P(A⋂B)=P(2boy,1girl)=38
HenceP(BA)=P(A⋂B)P(A)=37.
:
B
Let A be the event that father has at least one boy and B be the event that he has 2boys and one girl.
P(A)=P(1boy,2girl)+P(2boy,1girl)+P(3boy,nogirl)=3C1+3C2+3C323=78
P(A⋂B)=P(2boy,1girl)=38
HenceP(BA)=P(A⋂B)P(A)=37.
Answer: Option A. -> A little less than 12
:
A
Out of 9 distinct black and 9 distinct white balls, probability of drawing a white ball =12
and drawing black ball is also 12. for at least 4 of each colour in 9 draws with replacement, there are two cases,
Case(i)
P(getting 5 white, 4 black) =9C5(12)9
Cases (ii)
P(getting 4 white, 5 black)=9C4(12)9
These are exclusive so
P(atleast 4 of each colour) =9C5(12)9+9C4(12)9=63128 which is little less than 12
:
A
Out of 9 distinct black and 9 distinct white balls, probability of drawing a white ball =12
and drawing black ball is also 12. for at least 4 of each colour in 9 draws with replacement, there are two cases,
Case(i)
P(getting 5 white, 4 black) =9C5(12)9
Cases (ii)
P(getting 4 white, 5 black)=9C4(12)9
These are exclusive so
P(atleast 4 of each colour) =9C5(12)9+9C4(12)9=63128 which is little less than 12
Answer: Option B. -> The probability that A wins and loses equal number of matches is 1781
:
B
Probability of equal number of W and L is the probability of following
(0)W,(0)L +(1)W,(1)L+(2)W, (2)L
=(13)5+5C1.4C1(13)5+5C2.3C2(13)5=1781
:
B
Probability of equal number of W and L is the probability of following
(0)W,(0)L +(1)W,(1)L+(2)W, (2)L
=(13)5+5C1.4C1(13)5+5C2.3C2(13)5=1781
Answer: Option D. -> 38
:
D
Let E denote the event that a six occurs and A be the event theat the man reports that it is a six. We have P(E)=16,P(E′)=56,P(AE)=34 and P(AE′)=14.By Baye’s theorem
P(EA)=P(E).P(AE)P(E).P(AE)+P(E′).P(AE′)=(16)(34)(16)(34)+(56)(14)=38
:
D
Let E denote the event that a six occurs and A be the event theat the man reports that it is a six. We have P(E)=16,P(E′)=56,P(AE)=34 and P(AE′)=14.By Baye’s theorem
P(EA)=P(E).P(AE)P(E).P(AE)+P(E′).P(AE′)=(16)(34)(16)(34)+(56)(14)=38
Answer: Option A. -> 12
:
A
1+4p4,1−p2,1−2p2 are the probabilities of three mutually exclusive events.
∴0≤1+4pp≤1,0≤1−p2≤1
0≤1−2p2≤1and0≤(1+4p4)+(1−p2)+1−2p2≤1
∴−14≤p≤341−≤p≤1,12≤p≤12andp≤52
⇒p=12
:
A
1+4p4,1−p2,1−2p2 are the probabilities of three mutually exclusive events.
∴0≤1+4pp≤1,0≤1−p2≤1
0≤1−2p2≤1and0≤(1+4p4)+(1−p2)+1−2p2≤1
∴−14≤p≤341−≤p≤1,12≤p≤12andp≤52
⇒p=12