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Quantitative Aptitude

PROBABILITY MCQs

Probability, Probability I

Total Questions : 775 | Page 14 of 78 pages
Question 131. Urn A contains 6 red , 4 white balls and urn B contains 4 red and 6 white balls.  One ball is drawn from the urn A and placed in the urn B.  Then one ball is drawn at random from urn B and placed in the urn A.  if one ball is now drawn from the urn A, then the probability that it is found to be red is
  1.    3255  
  2.    3040
  3.    3250
  4.    34
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option A. -> 3255  
:
A
case(i): red ball from A to B, red ball from B to A ,then red ball from A
P1=610×511×610
Case(ii): red ball from A to B, white ball from B to A, red ball from A
P2=610×611×510
Case(iii): white ball from A to B, red ball from B to A, red ball from A
P3=410×411×710
Case(iv): white ball from A to B, white ball from B to A, red ball from A
P4=410×711×610
Therefore required probability =P1+P2+P3+P4=6401100=3255
Question 132. Let A, B , and C be three independent events with P(A)=13,P(B)=12, and P(C)=14. . The probability of exactly 2 of these events occurring, is equal to
  1.    14
  2.    724
  3.    34
  4.    1724
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option A. -> 14
:
A
P(exactly two of A, B and C) = P(AB) + P(BC) + P(CA) – 3 P(ABC)
Since A, B ,C are independent events,
Required probability = P(A)P(B) + P(B)P(C) +P(C)P(A) – 3 P(A)P(B)P(C)
=13×12+12×14+14×13313×12×14=14.
Question 133. In a multiple choice question there are four alternative answers of which one or more than one  is or are correct.  A candidate will get marks on the question only if he ticks all correct answers.  The candidate decides to tick answers at random.  If he is allowed up to three chances to answer the question, the probability that he will get marks on it is given by
  1.    1−(1415)3
  2.    (115)3
  3.    15
  4.    1415
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option C. -> 15
:
C
The total number of ways of answering one or more alternatives of 4 is 4C1+4C2+4C3+4C4=15,
Out of these 15 combinations, only one combination is correct. The probability of answeringthe alternaive correctly at the first trial is 115, that at the second trial is (1415.114)=115, and that at the third trail is 1415.1314.113=115,
Therefore the probability that the andidate will get marks on the question if he allowed upto three chances, is 115+115+115=15.
Question 134. Two events A and B have the probabilities 0.25 and 0.5 respectively.  The probability that both A and B simultaneously is 0.12.  then the probability that neither A and nor B occurs is ___.
  1.    0.13
  2.    0.38
  3.    0.63
  4.    0.37
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option D. -> 0.37
:
D
Given: P(A)=0.25
P(B)=0.5
P(A and B simultaneously happening) = 0.12
P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(AB)=0.25+0.50.12=0.63
P(¯A¯B)=P¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯(AB)=1P(AB)=10.63=0.37
Question 135. The probabilities of three mutually exclusive events A, B, C are given by 23,14, and 16 respectively. This statement
  1.    Is true
  2.    is false
  3.    nothing can be said
  4.    could be either
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option B. -> is false
:
B
Since the events A,B,C are mutually exclusive, we have
P(ABC)=23+14+16=1312>0
Which is not possible , hence the statement is false.
Question 136. A father has three children with at least one boy.  The probability that he has two boys and one girl is
  1.    14
  2.    37
  3.    13
  4.    25
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option B. -> 37
:
B
Let A be the event that father has at least one boy and B be the event that he has 2boys and one girl.
P(A)=P(1boy,2girl)+P(2boy,1girl)+P(3boy,nogirl)=3C1+3C2+3C323=78
P(AB)=P(2boy,1girl)=38
HenceP(BA)=P(AB)P(A)=37.
Question 137. From a bag containing 9 distinct white and 9 distinct black,  9 balls are drawn at random one by one,  the drawn balls being replaced each time.  The probability that at least four balls of each colour is in the draw, is
  1.    A little less than 12
  2.    a little greater than 12
  3.    12
  4.    13
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option A. -> A little less than 12
:
A
Out of 9 distinct black and 9 distinct white balls, probability of drawing a white ball =12
and drawing black ball is also 12. for at least 4 of each colour in 9 draws with replacement, there are two cases,
Case(i)
P(getting 5 white, 4 black) =9C5(12)9
Cases (ii)
P(getting 4 white, 5 black)=9C4(12)9
These are exclusive so
P(atleast 4 of each colour) =9C5(12)9+9C4(12)9=63128 which is little less than 12
Question 138. Team A plays with 5 other teams exactly once. Assuming that for each match the probabilities of a win, draw and loss are equal, then
  1.    The probability that A wins and loses equal number of matches is 3481
  2.    The probability that A wins and loses equal number of matches is 1781
  3.    The probability that A wins more number of matches than it loses is 1781
  4.    The probability that A loses more number of matches than it wins is 1681
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option B. -> The probability that A wins and loses equal number of matches is 1781
:
B
Probability of equal number of W and L is the probability of following
(0)W,(0)L +(1)W,(1)L+(2)W, (2)L
=(13)5+5C1.4C1(13)5+5C2.3C2(13)5=1781
Question 139. A man is known to speak truth is 75% cases.  If he throws an unbiased die and tells his friend that it is a six, then the probability that it is actually a six, is
  1.    16
  2.    18
  3.    34  
  4.    38
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option D. -> 38
:
D
Let E denote the event that a six occurs and A be the event theat the man reports that it is a six. We have P(E)=16,P(E)=56,P(AE)=34 and P(AE)=14.By Baye’s theorem
P(EA)=P(E).P(AE)P(E).P(AE)+P(E).P(AE)=(16)(34)(16)(34)+(56)(14)=38
Question 140. If (1+4p)4,(1p)2,and (12p)2 are the probabilities of three mutually exclusive events , then the value of p is
  1.    12
  2.    13
  3.    14
  4.    15
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option A. -> 12
:
A
1+4p4,1p2,12p2 are the probabilities of three mutually exclusive events.
01+4pp1,01p21
012p21and0(1+4p4)+(1p2)+12p21
14p341p1,12p12andp52
p=12

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