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Quantitative Aptitude

PROBABILITY MCQs

Probability, Probability I

Total Questions : 775 | Page 13 of 78 pages
Question 121. Urn A contains 6 red and 4 black balls and urn B contains 4 red and 6 black balls. One ball is drawn at random from urn A and placed in urn B. Then one ball is drawn at random from urn B and placed in urn A. If one ball is now drawn at random from urn A, the probability that it is found to be red, is
 
  1.    3255
  2.    2155
  3.    1955
  4.    None of these 
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option D. -> None of these 
:
D
Let the events are
R1= A red ball is drawn from urn A and placed in B
B1= A black ball is drawn from urn A and placed in B
R2= A red ball is drawn from urn A and placed in A
B2= A black ball is drawn from urn A and placed in B
R = A red ball is drawn in the second attempt from A
Then the required probability
=P(R1R2R)+(R1B2R)+P(B1R2R)+P(B1B2R)
=P(R1)P(R2)P(R)+P(R1)P(B2)P(R)+P(B1)P(R2)P(R)+P(B1)P(B2)P(R)
=610×511×610×610×611×510×410×411×710+410×711×610
=3255
Question 122. Seven white balls and three black balls are randomly placed in a row. The probability that no two black balls are placed adjacently equals
 
  1.    12
  2.    715
  3.    215
  4.    13
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option B. -> 715
:
B
The number of ways to arrange 7 white an 3 black balls in a row
10!7!.3!=10.9.81.2.3=120
Numbers of blank places between 7 balls are 6. There is 1 place before first ball and 1 place after last ball. Hence total number of places are 8.
Hence 3 black balls are arranged on these 8 places so that no two black balls are together in number of ways.
=8C3=8×7×61×2×3=56
So required probability = 56120=715
Question 123. There are four machines and it is known that exactly two of them are faulty. They are tested, one by one, is a random order till both the faulty machines are identified. Then the probability that only two tests are needed
 
  1.    13
  2.    16
  3.    12
  4.    14
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option B. -> 16
:
B
This is a problem of without replacement.
P=onedef.from2def.anyonefrom4×1def.fromremaining1def.anyonefromremaining3
Hence required probability = 24×13=16
Aliter : Number of ways in which two faulty machines may be detected (depending upon the test done to identify the faulty machines) = 4C2=6
Number of favourable cases = 1
[When faulty machines are identified in the first and the second test].
Hence required probability = 16
Question 124. Probability of a fraudster being caught is 12 and committing a fraud is 35. What is his chance of not going to jail?
  1.    70%
  2.    50%
  3.    40%
  4.    35%
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option A. -> 70%
:
A
P(not going to jail)= P( F')+ P(F intersection C')
where P(F) is the probability of commiting a fraud and P(C) is the Probability of being caught
P(F')= 25
P(C')= 12
P(F intersection C')= P(F) ×P(C')= 35×12=310
P(not going to jail)= 25+310=710=70%
Question 125. One of the two events must occur. If the chance of one is 23 of the other, then odds in favour of the other are
  1.    2:3
  2.    1:3
  3.    3:1
  4.    3:2
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option D. -> 3:2
:
D
Let p be the probability of the other event, then the probability of the first event is 23p. Since two events are totally exclusive, we have p+(23)p=1p=35
Hence odds in favour of the other are 3 : 5 – 3, i.e, 3 : 2.
Question 126. Three houses are available in a locality. Three persons apply for the houses. Each applies for one house without consulting others. The probability that all the three apply for the same house is
  1.    29
  2.    218
  3.    38
  4.    120
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option B. -> 218
:
B
For a particular house being selected Probability =13
Prob(all the persons apply for the same house) =(13×13×13)×3=19 or 218
Question 127. Two persons A and B take turns in throwing a pair of dice. The first person to through 9 from both dice will be awarded the prize. If A throws first then the probability that B wins the game is
 
  1.    917 
  2.    817 
  3.    89 
  4.    19 
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option B. -> 817 
:
B
The probability of throwing 9 with two dice = 436=19
The probability of not throwing 9 with two dice = 89
If A is to win he should throw 9 in 1st or 3rd or 5th attempt
If B is to win, he should throw, 9 in 2nd, 4th attempt
B’s chances = (89).19+(89)3.19+.....=89×191(89)2=817
Question 128. The probability that a leap year selected at random contains either 53 Sundays or 53 Mondays is ____.
  1.    27
  2.    47
  3.    37
  4.    17
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option C. -> 37
:
C
A leap year consists of 366 days comprising of 52 weeks and 2 days. There are 7 possibilities for these 2 extra days.
(i) Sunday, Monday
(ii) Monday, Tuesday
(iii) Tuesday, Wednesday
(iv) Wednesday, Thursday
(v) Thursday, Friday
(vi) Friday, Saturday
(vii) Saturday, Sunday
Let us consider two events :
A : the leap year contains 53 Sundays
B : the leap year contains 53 Mondays.
Then we have P(A)=27,P(B)=27,P(AB)=17
Required probability = P(AB)
=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)=27+2717=37
Question 129. If A and B are two events such that P(A) = 12 and P(B) = 23, then
  1.    P(A∪B)≥23
  2.    16≤P(A′∩B)≤12
  3.    16≤P(A∩B)≤12
  4.    All of the above
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option D. -> All of the above
:
D
We have P(AB) max. {P(A),P(B)}=23
P(AB) min.{P(A),P(B)}=12
and P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A)+P(B)1=16
16P(AB)12
P(AB)=P(B)P(AB)
Hence 2312P(AB)2316
16P(AB)12
Question 130. One hundred identical coins, each with probability p  of showing up heads are tossed once. If 0 < p < 1 and the probability of heads showing 50 coins is equal to that head showing 51 coins, then  the value of p is
  1.    12
  2.    49101
  3.    50101
  4.    51101
 Discuss Question
Answer: Option D. -> 51101
:
D
Let P1 and P2 be the respectively be the probability of heads showing 50 coins and head showing 51 coinsP1=100C50p50(1p)50andP2=100C51p51(1p)49
GivenP1=P2
100C50p50(1p)50=100C51p51(1p)49
1pp=5051p=51101.

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