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Question
According to the author, why is prediction difficult in history?
(2007)
Options:
A .  Historical explanations are usually broad so that no prediction is possible.
B .  Historical outcomes depend upon a large number of factors and hence prediction is difficult for each case.
C .  Historical sciences, by their very nature, are not interested in a multitude of minor factors, which might be important in a specific historical outcome.
D .  Historians are interested in evolution of human history and hence are only interested in long-term predictions.
Answer: Option B
:
B
Option: (b)
In the last paragraph, 1st line the author mentions that prediction in history is much more difficult owing to the large number of individual variables operating thus making answer option (b) correct.

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